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PRIMARY 2025: Historical Data Insights

PRIMARY 2025: Historical Data Insights

From data collected on elections database ourcampaigns.com, I’ve been able to offer historical context to yesterday’s first-drop results.

Out of 409 candidates (every candidate to run in a mayoral primary since 1973, and most city council races since 2005-ish, with some outliers):

Alexis Rinck is the best-performing woman of color, with 4th place out of 409, the best performing candidate in Position 9, beating Mosqueda ’21 by 15+ points.

Dionne Foster (17th overall) with the 3rd best all-time performance in Position 9 post-district primaries, behind only Lorena Gonzalez (in both 2015 and 2017). Counting races before 2015, she’s 5th overall.

Erika Evans with the best primary performance for a City Attorney candidate (before this, it was Tom Carr in 2001), the best-performing woman to run for City Attorney, and the only one to receive over 50% in a primary. (22nd overall).

Katie Wilson with the best performance of a non-incumbent mayoral candidate since Liem Tuai in 1973, and in primaries only behind Nickels ’05, Rice ’93, and Royer ’85. (29th overall).

Eddie Lin (31st overall) with the 4th best performance in District 2 history (behind Harrell ’15, Morales ’23, and Morales ’19).

And, out of the entire dataset, 26 candidates received over 50% of the vote, three of whom did so last night. And the numbers aren’t yet final, and historically will only get better.

Happy to pull any other numbers if folks in the comments want them.

https://preview.redd.it/3kfg2pbr4hhf1.png?width=444&format=png&auto=webp&s=c1f20635ede5d72d7deedfb8ba2373968c909e6c

submitted by /u/LookingBisexually
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